How far back can you test VWO? To Jun 1994, with VEIEX

Computed by the MarketHeist portfolio engine · Published 2026-10-10 · Updated 2026-10-10 · Data through Sep 2026
VWO (Emerging Markets) has its own monthly data from Apr 2005. Spliced with VEIEX it reaches back to Jun 1994, which adds 10.8 years (34% of the extended history comes from proxies). Data through Sep 2026.

What you'd have missed

How the history is built

VWO (ETF) Apr 2005 → now
VEIEX (Vanguard Emerging Markets Stock Index Fund, mutual fund) used Jun 1994 → Mar 2005; its own data runs Jun 1994 → now
Jun 1994Sep 2026

Solid bars are the months each fund contributes to the spliced series; the outline shows how far a proxy's own data runs. Each month uses the youngest fund that has data for it; returns are spliced, not prices (dividends reinvested via adjusted close).

How well each proxy tracked VWO

ProxyKindMonths contributedOverlap with VWOCorrelationTracking errorTracking differenceBetaVol ratioGrade
VEIEXVanguard Emerging Markets Stock Index Fundmutual fundJun 1994–Mar 2005130 monthsApr 2005–Sep 2026258 months0.9922.53%-0.28%0.980.99Close

Statistics are over the months a proxy and VWO both have data. Tracking error is annualized; tracking difference is the annualized geometric gap (positive: the proxy earned more). Page grade: close, the worst grade among the proxies that contribute months.

VWO's own history versus the extended history

The ETF's own historyProxy years onlyFull extended history
WindowApr 2005 – Sep 202621.5 yearsJun 1994 – Mar 200510.8 yearsJun 1994 – Sep 202632.3 years
Growth of $10,000$44,124$17,474$77,101
CAGR7.1%5.3%6.5%
Annualized volatility20.1%24.1%21.5%
Sharpe ratio (risk-free 0%)0.450.340.40
Max drawdown-61.7%Oct 2007 → Feb 2009; recovered Oct 2017-54.0%Jul 1997 → Aug 1998; recovered Dec 2003-61.7%Oct 2007 → Feb 2009; recovered Oct 2017
Worst complete calendar year2008 (-52.5%)2000 (-27.6%)2008 (-52.5%)
Best complete calendar year2009 (76.3%)2003 (61.6%)2009 (76.3%)
Longest underwater (months)11976119
Major declines covered325

The columns cover different years, so a higher or lower CAGR is not a verdict on the fund; the point is which market regimes each window includes. Growth of $10,000 is the same one-asset, buy-and-hold calculation the live portfolio app makes.

Growth of $10,000

Growth of $10,000 in VWO, Jun 1994 to Sep 2026 (log scale)$10,000 grew to $77,101 from Jun 1994 to Sep 2026 using VEIEX before Apr 2005 and VWO's own returns after. Log scale; dashed lines mark where each fund's returns begin.$10k$20k$50k1994199920042009201420192024VWO startsProxy yearsVWO own data
Log scale, so the early decades are not flattened. Grey is the proxy period; blue is VWO's own data. Dashed lines mark where each fund's returns begin.

Drawdowns

Drawdown (underwater curve) of VWO, Jun 1994 to Sep 2026Worst peak-to-trough month-end decline was -61.7% (Oct 2007 to Feb 2009) over the extended history, versus -61.7% in VWO's own years.-60%-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%0%1994199920042009201420192024VWO startsProxy yearsVWO own data
Decline from the prior peak at month-end, the "underwater" curve.

How VWO did in each major US stock-market decline since 1985

DeclineS&P 500VWO over the same monthsSource of those months
1987 crashSep 1987–Nov 1987-29.8%not coveredbefore available data
1998 LTCM sell-offJul 1998–Aug 1998-15.3%-24.8%VEIEX
2000–02 dot-com bearSep 2000–Sep 2002-44.7%-32.6%VEIEX
2007–09 financial crisisNov 2007–Feb 2009-50.8%-61.7%ETF
2020 COVID crashJan 2020–Mar 2020-19.4%-24.4%ETF
2022 inflation bearJan 2022–Sep 2022-23.9%-24.5%ETF

The decline windows are computed, not chosen: every peak-to-trough fall of at least 15% (month-end) in the S&P 500 series since 1985. The fund's figure compounds its monthly returns from the month after the S&P 500's peak through the trough.

VWO's own five deepest drawdowns (extended history)

PeakTroughDepthRecoverySource of the decline months
Oct 2007Feb 2009-61.7%Oct 2017ETF
Jul 1997Aug 1998-54.0%Dec 2003VEIEX
Jun 2021Oct 2022-31.9%Jun 2025ETF
Jan 2018Mar 2020-28.3%Nov 2020ETF
Sep 1994Mar 1995-24.5%Jan 1997VEIEX

This covers declines the equity windows miss, such as the bond bear markets of 1994 and 2022.

Caveats

Test it yourself

Open VWO as a one-asset portfolio in the live app, where every number recomputes from fresh data.

Open VWO (100%) in the portfolio builder →

Used in portfolios: Wealthfront Classic, Yale Endowment (Swensen), Larry Portfolio

Used in strategies: Adaptive Asset Allocation

Used in guides: Larry Portfolio, Wealthfront Classic, Yale (Swensen)

All fund histories →

Frequently asked questions

How far back does VWO data go?
VWO (Emerging Markets) has its own monthly data from Apr 2005. Spliced with VEIEX it reaches back to Jun 1994, which adds 10.8 years (34% of the extended history comes from proxies). Data through Sep 2026.
What did VWO do before 2005?
Before Apr 2005 the series is VEIEX's. Those 10.8 years (Jun 1994–Mar 2005) show 5.3% a year with 24.1% annualized volatility and a worst drawdown of -54.0% (Jul 1997–Aug 1998). In major S&P 500 declines: 1998 LTCM sell-off, -24.8% versus -15.3% for the S&P 500 (VEIEX); 2000–02 dot-com bear, -32.6% versus -44.7% for the S&P 500 (VEIEX). The full extended history's worst drawdown is -61.7% (Oct 2007–Feb 2009).
How closely does VEIEX track VWO?
Over 258 overlapping months (Apr 2005–Sep 2026), VEIEX had a correlation of 0.992 with VWO, a tracking error of 2.5% a year and a tracking difference of -0.28% a year (grade: close).

Methodology

Source
Yahoo Finance via MarketHeist, monthly adjusted close (dividends reinvested). Months run to the last complete calendar month.
Splice rule
Each month uses the youngest fund that has data for it; returns are spliced, not prices (dividends reinvested via adjusted close).
Numbers
Computed by the MarketHeist portfolio engine as a one-asset, 100% buy-and-hold portfolio, the same calculation the live app makes. Sharpe uses a risk-free rate of 0%. Drawdowns are month-end.
Correlation
Pearson correlation of monthly returns over the months both funds have.
Tracking error
Standard deviation of the monthly return differences (proxy minus VWO) times the square root of 12.
Tracking difference
Annualized geometric return of the proxy minus that of VWO over the overlap. Positive means the proxy earned more.
Beta and vol ratio
Beta is the covariance of the proxy with VWO divided by the variance of VWO; vol ratio is the proxy's standard deviation divided by VWO's.
Grades
Close: correlation of at least 0.95 and tracking error of at most 3%. Approximate: tracking error of at most 8% and either a cash-like fund (volatility of at most 3%) or correlation of at least 0.80 with a vol ratio of at most 1.25. Category stand-in: anything weaker.
Generated
2026-10-10; data through Sep 2026. Reproduce hash of the full extended one-asset portfolio: 0d36e69da0d747c7

Historical simulation, not investment advice. Past returns, including spliced proxy returns, do not predict future results.